$AMZN + $RDFN? DD by the guy who called $AFRM + $AMZN

Hello. I’m here to make my next prediction! (original prediction) amazon.com/redfin redirects to their home services page Similar to the Affirm situation, I believe there is a unique “node ID”, but this time it is hidden by url redirects. The node ID is contained in one of the redirect URLs . The node ID does not yield any google search results leading me to believe it is tied to either an upcoming or abandoned project: https://www.amazon.com/b?node=12636722011 redfin.com/amazon redirects to redfin.com/company/amazon, but no other error pages adds that “company” part to the URL as far as I can tell Amazon has tested the housing market in recent years. They had an “Amazon TurnKey” pilot program which was in partnership with Realogy but suspended it supposedly due to COVID. Both companies are conveniently headquartered in Seattle Unlike the Affirm situation, however, I do not know when these redirects were set up. For all I know, they could have been unnoticed for years and be a relic of some abandoned idea. The word “Redfin” appears in the search bar of the page you instantly get redirected from. On an iPad I was able to access the empty page. It isn’t particularly telling though. Affirm’s page literally said “Pay Over Time with Affirm” in the search bar. What I think could happen: It looks like Amazon has tested the waters with its TurnKey endeavors and they’re ready to make a bigger foray into the housing market. I have no clue what that entails, but I think an acquisition of Redfin seems more likely than a partnership. This is not the first time this idea has been floated (tbh I haven’t even read the article cuz it has some pay wall lol but you get the point) Even if my prediction ends up being correct again, I have no clue what the timeline on something like this would be. Housing seems like a logistical nightmare unlike Affirm integration. Could be years. So.. don’t go buying weekly call options because you read something dumb on reddit. However, if I am wrong, I still think Redfin is a solid company with massive upside so I’m not worried. Honorable mention: amazon.com/cvs, however, there is no node ID and CVS supposedly rejected Amazon earlier this year. Wouldn’t count on this one. Ok that is all. Back to my cave :) (I had some explanatory screenshots in here but they were getting my post removed, so I'll work on adding them after work)

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RossPG

Nov 19, 2021

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$AMZN + $RDFN? DD by the guy who called $AFRM + $AMZN

bullish

Hello. I’m here to make my next prediction! (original prediction)

  1. amazon.com/redfin redirects to their home services page
  2. Similar to the Affirm situation, I believe there is a unique “node ID”, but this time it is hidden by url redirects. The node ID is contained in one of the redirect URLs . The node ID does not yield any google search results leading me to believe it is tied to either an upcoming or abandoned project: https://www.amazon.com/b?node=12636722011
  3. redfin.com/amazon redirects to redfin.com/company/amazon, but no other error pages adds that “company” part to the URL as far as I can tell
  4. Amazon has tested the housing market in recent years. They had an “Amazon TurnKey” pilot program which was in partnership with Realogy but suspended it supposedly due to COVID.
  5. Both companies are conveniently headquartered in Seattle

Unlike the Affirm situation, however, I do not know when these redirects were set up. For all I know, they could have been unnoticed for years and be a relic of some abandoned idea.

The word “Redfin” appears in the search bar of the page you instantly get redirected from. On an iPad I was able to access the empty page. It isn’t particularly telling though. Affirm’s page literally said “Pay Over Time with Affirm” in the search bar.

What I think could happen: It looks like Amazon has tested the waters with its TurnKey endeavors and they’re ready to make a bigger foray into the housing market. I have no clue what that entails, but I think an acquisition of Redfin seems more likely than a partnership. This is not the first time this idea has been floated (tbh I haven’t even read the article cuz it has some pay wall lol but you get the point)

Even if my prediction ends up being correct again, I have no clue what the timeline on something like this would be. Housing seems like a logistical nightmare unlike Affirm integration. Could be years. So.. don’t go buying weekly call options because you read something dumb on reddit. However, if I am wrong, I still think Redfin is a solid company with massive upside so I’m not worried.

Honorable mention: amazon.com/cvs, however, there is no node ID and CVS supposedly rejected Amazon earlier this year. Wouldn’t count on this one.

Ok that is all. Back to my cave :)

(I had some explanatory screenshots in here but they were getting my post removed, so I'll work on adding them after work)

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read-time
2 min

4100.00

Target Price

9/ 10

Confidence

2-6 Months

Timeframe
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